As we all know, seasonality is based a lot on money inflows and automatic investments into stocks at the beginning of the month. The only problem is, when investors are no longer putting money into equity funds, which is the case since 2008, does seasonality go away? It should, which is part of the reason why I think we saw such severe weakness on the first 2 days of September and October.
I don't think you can bank on seasonality as much as when equities were a favored asset class. It probably applies more to bonds now than to equities.
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- This Week's Lesson
- The new market
- Time machine to 2008
- Probably a gap up
- Monday will be the day to buy
- So much for seasonality
- Hesistation
- Everyone is bearish now
- I am seeing some panic
- Market transformation
- Back to selling
- Chicago PMI and Consumer confidence
- Sharp rally
- Wrong intraday
- Not like end of September
- Getting more bearish
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- Small cap annihilation
- Bulls used up all their ammo yesterday
- Recent pattern of early strength
- EIA Crude Oil Inventory numbers
- Santa Claus Rally?
- ES Target 1038.50
- Cascade sell off coming
- Weaker than I thought
- Seasonality
- S&P 1060
- Who doesn't expect us to go up again?
- Overnight action should be weak
- Support broken
- Gap down play
- Looking for blood
- An unforgiving market for shorts
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- ES buyers at 1082+. Why?
- The Next 3 months
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- A little squeeze at the close
- Adjusting to the volatility
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- CBOE equity put call ratio at 0.35
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2 comments:
How did mkt go up 60% in 6 months when investors didn't put in money into equity funds?
I think I'm covering at 1050.
Fed gave free money to the banks and hedge funds went from short to long. At least 1/2 of that 60% was unwinding of the fear trade and short positions. The rest was Fed free money.
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